Saturday, November 22, 2014

3-D Printing for Aviation

Wichita has the honor of producing more airplanes than any other city in the world. So, it is important our companies continue to provide increases in productivity. Here is a great article from the Wichita Eagle about 3-D printing and aviation parts.

Friday, November 21, 2014

Update to Saturday Travel Forecast

Here is the forecast radar for 11am Saturday:
In the original forecast (scroll down) I said there might be some delays at the Dallas airports. If this forecast is correct, I would say they are likely -- especially at DFW.

If you are traveling by air for Thanksgiving, I highly recommend my Airline Survival Guide (free).

If You are New to the Lukewarmer Side of Global Warming...

…welcome. Lukewarmers (like me) believe that man affects the climate and that CO2 does warm the atmosphere. However, we also believe (and the science confirms) that global warming is not a "catastrophe."

Here is a good commentary from Forbes.

Saturday Travel Weather

Here is an overview of weather conditions expected Saturday for early Thanksgiving-week travels.

From 6am Saturday to 6am Sunday there is a possibility of tornadoes, damaging thunderstorm winds and hail in the areas indicated. Generally, 15% is the threshold of a significant threat.
Delays are possibility at Houston, San Antonio and Austin with a chance of weather-related delays at the Dallas airports and New Orleans.

As far as precipitation is concerned here is the forecast from 12:01am Saturday to 11:59pm CST:
The darker colors indicate heavier amounts of rain with the maroon clusters being high probability of thunderstorms during this 24 hour period.

Finally, here is the probability of 2" or more of snow accumulating during the 24 hour period.
Tomorrow, I'll start posting about Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.

Conducting Scientifically Useful Storm Chases

Note: I do not recommend storm chasing by the general public; quite the opposite. I'm posting this for emergency managers and law enforcement. 

There is a web site dedicated to learning more about the May 31, 2013, El Reno, Oklahoma super tornado. That storm is one of the most intense ever recorded (note: I am not saying it was the most intense ever to occur).

There are many in and outside of meteorology that wish to contribute to our knowledge of these storms by conducting scientifically valuable storm chases. The best checklist I have seen is on that site and it is located here.

Thursday, November 20, 2014

First Look at Saturday's Travel Weather

Here are the areas where precipitation is expected during the daylight hours Saturday. Darker shades are heavier amounts.

Here are the probabilities of 2" or more of accumulating snow during the calendar day (12:01am to 11:59pm CST) Saturday.

5th Anniversary of This Blog and Climategate

The meteorologicalmusings blog, brought to you by Mike Smith Enterprises, LLC, is five years old this week. By coincidence, Climategate broke the second day of the blog's existence.
Climategate, in spite of the climate cult would like you to think, is the biggest scandal in the history of atmospheric science. Climate science is adversely affected by groupthink, by noble cause corruption and, for many, quasi-religious overtones.

The Science is Settled

Remember: In 2000, climate scientists told us, "snows are a thing of the past."

Wednesday, November 19, 2014

Mike Smith Speaker Evaluation? Outstanding!

Mike and I were recently at the National Association of Mutual Insurance Companies 2014 National Convention in National Harbor, Maryland. Mike's speaker evaluation was judged on whether the speaker was effective and engaging, if the speaker had an appropriate level of knowledge about the topic, and if the speaker had an appropriate level of interaction from the audience. Some of the conference attendees stated that Mike's presentation was the best presentation of the entire convention and that it was also noted to be "the best thing I learned at the 119th Annual Convention" category while others said his speech was their "highlight of the entire meeting."

If you are an event planner and are considering your options when hiring a guest speaker, we hope that you will consider Mike Smith Enterprises to fill all your needs. Mike's presentations are entertaining, inspirational, educational and thought provoking. Mike delivers genuine value with take away action steps with ideas on how to minimize losses while increasing profits in your business. Contact me today and let us forecast success for your next seminar, conference or convention. Let Mike inspire and entertain your group with a fresh look at new, and highly useful, technology and techniques.

Another Major National Weather Service Outage in Progress

This is a story that is becoming far too common. For the second time in two weeks, the National Weather Service currently has another major outage. It began around 6:15 CST.
This is the NWS's single most important communications channel. For some organizations, this is their only source of meteorological information.

Fortunately, AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions invests in multiple redundancies. We are not affected and our clients are receiving their products as normal.

I shutter to think what would be occurring if there were tornadoes in progress where seconds count given the number of other organizations that depend on the NWS satellite feed.

GOOD NEWS: 7:51PM, the data has started flowing again. 

Is This a Great Christmas Gift, Or What?

A post-Christmas review posted at Amazon last year:
Got this for my younger brother for Christmas and he couldn't put it down. He probably read the whole thing in a week.

Stranded For 30 Hours…And, Counting

There are drivers still stuck in the 5+ feet of snow near Buffalo. The entire article is here. While this blog does not cover lake effect snow, I knew this would be a major event so went ahead and mentioned it twice before it occurred. The first of those is here.

Just this morning I was reading a paper in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society titled "The Dynamics of Hurricane Risk Perception." One of the points it makes is that -- in spite of good warnings -- many people in Hurricanes Sandy and Isaac "didn't think it could happen to them."

Meteorologists are increasingly engaging social scientists to help us sharpen our warnings and make them more understandable. We had a social scientist here at AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions just a few weeks ago. While I certainly accept responsibility to make our warnings as clear, as timely, and as accurate as possible, I don't know what to do with the "it can't happen to me" attitude. I believe, ultimately, it is decision of adults to make: Do I follow the warning advice or not?

7-Day Precipitation Forecast

Tuesday, November 18, 2014

Union Pacific at Sunset

Matt Deighton, resident of Greensburg, Kansas, and the creator of Duck Salt, took this photo a few minutes ago. It is an eastbound Union Pacific train at 65+mph on its legendary Golden State Route.

What Do I Do All Day??

Slate has a (partial) answer, here. Yes, weather analytics is an important and fast-growing tool for retailers.