This is the forecast for Monday evening showing either a hurricane or tropical storm south of Louisiana.
But, on Thursday, the storm is forecast to have weakened, but has hardly moved.
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| Another hazard: Tropical storm or hurricane indicated by arrow. It is what is now tropical storm #14 (see satellite graphic above). |
It is too soon to worry about wind speeds or wind location. It is not too soon to be concerned about more heavy rain in the region, given the 15+" that fell with T.S. Lee.
It would be wonderful if the storm were to take a more western path and move into Texas. That is not out of the question.
But, any path farther east than Texas will result in major problems.
Mike, I think you are missing a huge element of that forecast solution. If that verifies, the winds over much of Texas will once again have a large component from the north. This would continue to advect very dry air into Texas. Couple this with a tightening pressure gradient and you have the recipe for a continued, and probably worsened, fire situation across central Texas.
ReplyDeleteSo, not only is this forecast depriving Texas of the much needed rain; it's actually going to exacerbate an already bad situation.
Good point, Patrick. I hadn't thought of that!
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