I have written, several times, about the unfortunate experiment being conducted by the National Weather Service on many of the people living Missouri, Kansas and southwest Illinois pertaining to tornado and severe thunderstorm warnings. I spell out my concerns at the link. Nothing that has occurred I wrote that piece in February has assuaged my conviction this is a bad idea.
As we saw the evening of April 14, the people of Conway Springs, Kansas, were told it was a "tornado emergency," that they would die if they didn't get underground, and that there would be "catastrophic" damage. What happened? Nothing. The tornado completely missed Conway Springs. What I am concerned about is what will the people of Conway Springs do the next time when it is an "ordinary" tornado warning now that "DEFCON 3" (the highest category of warning) was a bust?
More and more are expressing doubts about this experiment. Here are some thoughts from Norman, Oklahoma research meteorologist, Chuck Doswell.
The fact is we don't have the scientific skill to predict exact tornado locations and tornado intensities.
So, as this experiment goes on for another six months, all you need to know is that a tornado warning is in effect and -- if you are in the tornado warning -- take shelter. Tune out the rest.