The early attempts, as you might imagine, were awful. In fact, little visible progress was made the first five years or so.
The last few years, progress has been rapid. When Mother Nature presents a situation like Thursday's with high instability (check) and at least some forcing in the upper atmosphere (check) they can be amazingly accurate.
On the left is the forecast for 7pm Thursday evening made six hours earlier and on the right is the actual radar.
|click to enlarge|
Meteorology increasingly provides highly accurate, actionable information that can save lives and improve business efficiency and profitability.