A Wonderful Explanation From the NWS in Aberdeen

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This is a range of model forecasts out ten days:  
We are getting fairly good as saying "a storm is on the way" four and five days out. We now have a fair amount (big snow or little snow) out about three days. But, take anything beyond that with a big grain of salt.

Comments

  1. UnknownFebruary 10, 2014 at 6:49 AM

    Is it just me, or do the models seem to have a pattern in the consensus of slight overestimation at Day3, and slight underestimation at Day2 and 1? It seems we've had a lot of systems in the past few years where the consensus number followed this pattern. Just an impression...I may be all wet.

    ReplyDelete
  2. UnknownFebruary 10, 2014 at 6:50 AM

    I'm talking specifically in the plains...I don't pay much attention to snow totals elsewhere than at home.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Mike SmithFebruary 10, 2014 at 7:46 AM

    Yes, Scott, I have seen that pattern, too, but they seem to improve again in the last 12 hours.

    ReplyDelete

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