The Marvel of Modern Meteorology

The flooding continues and, in some places, rivers are still rising. As long-time readers know, we periodically discuss how far weather science has come and how businesses and other enterprises should use it as they would any other tool (accounting advice, legal advice, etc.). Let's take a look at March 31's flood forecast and compare it to what actually happened. The Forecast Please note the lower map and the forecast of "more than ten inches." The upper map shows where major flooding was forecast. This was before the rains even began! The Reality There is an amazing correlation between the forecast and the reality. Below is a map of the current or peak forecast river stages. Purple dots are "major" or "record" flooding. Again, an amazing correlation. With the exception of the major flooding on the Meramec River near St. Louis -- which was included in the flood forecast the next day (before the flooding began) -- the forecast is nearly perfe...